Run-and-No-Shoot Offenses to Meet : Raiders: Winless Chargers will bring an L.A.-style attack to the Coliseum today.

Based on available data, the Raiders should defeat the San Diego Chargers today at the Coliseum, 15.6 to 15.2. There will be no passes completed. The teams will chew up the grass near midfield by trading punts and tailback passes.

A running back, either the Raiders’ 255-pound Nick Bell or San Diego’s 238-pound Rod Bernstine, will knock an opposing linebacker unconscious.

The game will last 2 hours 2 minutes. A defensive player will score the only touchdown.

The Raiders’ Jeff Jaeger will win the game with a field goal, then pack his indispensable right leg in ice. Kicker John Carney of the Chargers will have a chance to win it with a field goal and miss.

San Diego Coach Dan Henning’s NFL record will drop to 34-67-1. Afterward, he will comment about how close his team is to turning the corner. Someone will write that the corner is Dead Man’s Curve.

The Chargers will fall to 0-6, but it will be difficult to tell which was the superior team. Henning, somehow, will survive another week.

The teams are closely matched except for those records. The Raiders (3-2) and Chargers really are averaging 15.6 and 15.2 points, respectively. Both shy from the pass.

The reasoning is sound. The Chargers have been misled by John Friesz, who won the starting job with a 17-for-19 performance against third-string Raiders in the last exhibition. Friesz chased Billy Joe Tolliver out of town because Friesz had the sense to pick on the Raiders’ then-backup cornerback, Ron Brown, who was released soon thereafter and since has been converted back to wide receiver by the Rams.

This week, Friesz gets a dose of the real Raiders, cornerbacks Terry McDaniel and Lionel Washington, who last week eliminated receiver Jerry Rice from the game plan.

“He’ll be seeing the whole ball of wax now,” Raider Coach Art Shell said of Friesz.

Friesz doesn’t need anymore waxings. Through five games, he is last among AFC quarterbacks with a rating of 57.9.

“We’re just not as accomplished in the passing game right now as the Raiders,” Henning said.

This is not necessarily a compliment. Raider quarterback Jay Schroeder has a 70.9 rating, but the Chargers actually outrank the Raiders in passing overall, 25th to 27th.

The line between victory and defeat is a fine one. The Chargers have scored two fewer points than the Raiders, yet are winless. The Raiders have proved that it is what a good defense does with the points that counts.

The Chargers have, at times, dominated with a ground attack led by Bernstine, with help from Marion Butts and two tackles posing as tight ends.

Bernstine is the AFC’s third-leading rusher with 416 yards, averaging five yards per carry. The Chargers are the fourth-best rushing team in the NFL. Still, they find ways to lose.

Last week, the Chargers outgained the Kansas City Chiefs in total yardage, 311 to 182. Kansas City won, 14-13.

“You still have to make plays to get the ball into the end zone,” Henning said. “Moving the ball, and pounding the ball and controling the football mean nothing unless you can put points on the board.”

Shell won’t comment on San Diego’s problems.

“I don’t want to analyze their team in public,” he said.

Shell said the traditional rivalry will provide an entertaining game.

“You can take the records and throw them out the window,” he said.

The Chargers would like to.

Raider Notes

Max Montoya will sit out his second consecutive game at right guard. The Raiders will use Reggie McElroy in his place. . . . Raider assistant Steve Ortmayer, who hired Dan Henning while working as the Chargers’ director of football operations in 1987-89, said the coach is not the winless team’s problem. “I think he is a very solid football man,” Ortmayer said. “He’s a solid X’s-and-O’s guy who puts together ground attacks that are very impressive.” Is Henning bowing to the heat in San Diego? “Heat isn’t near as bad as losing,” Ortmayer said. “Losing is the thing that’s horrible.”

The Raiders lead the series, 39-21-2, including a 17-12 victory in the 1990 regular-season finale to clinch the AFC West.

Raider tailback Roger Craig, who has a sore knee and shoulder, is averaging 3.1 yards per carry, worst among the top 20 rushers in the AFC. “He’s an outstanding back,” Henning said of Craig. “I’m not sure he is what he once was. He’s a good one.” When it comes to averages, Craig is in legendary company. The second-worst average among the top 20 is owned by the Indianapolis Colts’ Eric Dickerson, with 3.3.