Company Town Film Profit Report

This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. and Canadian returns (about 55% of gross) represent only 20% of a film’s final revenue, which includes overseas theatrical, video and TV income. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of June 29-July 1:

Highlights:

* “A.I.” looks to make a modest profit for Warner Bros. Like many Steven Spielberg and most Stanley Kubrick films, it is expected to do stronger business overseas.

* Based on its low cost, “Baby Boy” should make a small profit for Sony.

* “Crazy/beautiful” and “Pootie Tang” should break even after video and television sales are factored in.

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$$ Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Shrek DreamWorks 7 $60 $250 The Fast and the Furious Universal 2 38 120

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$ Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)

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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Pearl Harbor Disney 9 $140 Lara Croft: Tomb Raider Paramount 4 80 A.I. Warner/DreamWorks 1 90 Dr. Dolittle 2 Fox 3 72 Atlantis Disney 6 90 Baby Boy Sony 5 16

Projected U.S. box-office receipts, Movie title in millions Pearl Harbor $190 Lara Croft: Tomb Raider 130 A.I. 105 Dr. Dolittle 2 95 Atlantis 80 Baby Boy 30

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? Toss-ups ($5 million or more in profit/loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Moulin Rouge Fox 11 $50 $52 Pootie Tang Paramount 12 3 5 crazy/beautiful Disney 8 14 13

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Losers (less than $5 million)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Swordfish Warner Bros. 10 $80 $68

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Notes: Cost estimates are for production only. Only half of box-office receipts come back to the studio.

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