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Everything-winning Colin Farrell is firmly ensconced in the top spot here, but revelatory veteran Stephen Graham is right with him in the closest race in the BuzzMeter’s Emmy winner predictions.
Lorraine Ali, however, doesn’t hesitate in naming Graham: “Of all the prime-time categories, this is the easiest to call,” she says. “He portrayed the pain and devastation of a grieving parent with such truthfulness that it’s hard to watch and even harder to turn away from.”
Counterpoint, declares Tracy Brown: “Because of the complete physical transformation Farrell’s role required — plus his star power — I’m giving the edge to him for his portrayal of Gotham’s iconic crime lord on the rise.”
While Trey Mangum and Glenn Whipp see a possible Graham win as part of a big night for “Adolescence,” Matt Roush says Farrell “ticks off all of the awards-bait boxes: physical transformation, absolute commitment, scenery-chewing range. He’s the obvious frontrunner, although … Graham is just as memorable and more emotionally affecting.”
More predictions: Limited / TV movie actress | Limited series
1. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
2. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
3. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
4. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
5. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
2. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
3. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
T4. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
T4. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
“Of all the prime-time categories, this is the easiest to call: Graham. As the tortured father of a son facing murder charges in ‘Adolescence,’ he portrayed the pain and devastation of a grieving parent with such truthfulness that it’s hard to watch and even harder to turn away from.”
Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
2. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
3. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
4. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
5. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
“‘Adolescence’ will win, but voters loved ‘The Penguin’ — to the tune of 24 nominations. Farrell, a Golden Globe winner for his prosthetics-heavy performance as Oswald ‘Oz’ Cobb, is the only one likely to beat the ‘Adolescence’ co-creator/star.”
Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
2. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
3. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
4. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
5. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
“Because of the complete physical transformation Farrell’s role required — plus his star power — I’m giving the edge to him for his portrayal of Gotham’s iconic crime lord on the rise.”
Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
2. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
3. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
4. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
5. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
“Farrell is the favorite for ‘The Penguin,’ but if it is a great night for ‘Adolescence’ overall, Graham could easily take things here. But there is an awards favorite in this category too — Brian Tyree Henry — so it’s not cut-and-dry here.”
TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
2. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
3. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
4. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
5. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
“Farrell as ‘The Penguin’ ticks off all of the awards-bait boxes: physical transformation, absolute commitment, scenery-chewing range. He’s the obvious frontrunner, although as the angrily perplexed and grieving father in ‘Adolescence,’ Graham is just as memorable and more emotionally affecting.”
Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”
2. Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”
3. Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
4. Brian Tyree Henry, “Dope Thief”
5. Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”
“This is a toss-up between Graham’s shell-shocked dad in ‘Adolescence’ and Farrell’s villainous title turn in ‘The Penguin.’ Farrell has star power on his side. Graham is also nominated as a producer and writer. I’m leaning Graham in an ‘Adolescence’ wave.”
