Advertisement

2025 Emmy predictions: best actress, limited series or TV movie

Buzzmeter 2025 Emmy Limited Series Actress
(Illustration by Lesley Busby / Los Angeles Times; photos from Apple TV+; FX; HBO)

Cristin Milioti remains the consensus No. 1 pick here. However, the panel sees this as an extremely close race at the top, with Michelle Williams collecting all the second-place votes and several enthusiastic endorsements.

Kristen Baldwin, who calls the race “flip-a-coin close,” reasons “Williams already has an Emmy for ‘Fosse/Verdon,’ so perhaps they’ll spread the wealth to Milioti for her tour de force as Arkham Asylum’s very own Sofia Falcone.”

“‘Dying for Sex’s’ Michelle Williams has previously won in this category, so that might give her the edge,” calculates Tracy Brown. “But I still think the award will go to ‘The Penguin’s’ scene-stealing Cristin Milioti.”

Advertisement

“One of the year’s tougher toss-ups,” mulls Matt Roush before pulling the rip cord: “Both were fearless. Maybe a tie?”

More predictions: Limited / TV movie actor | Limited series

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
5. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”

line drawing of a woman

Los Angeles Times

Lorraine Ali

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
T2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
T2. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
5. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”

“It’s difficult to know who, or perhaps what, will dominate this category. Will it be Blanchett, acclaimed in an underperforming series (‘Disclaimer’); Williams, excellent in an offbeat dramedy (‘Dying for Sex’); or Cristin Miloti, impressive as a fantastically warped villain of a comic book adaptation (‘The Penguin’)?”

Entertainment Weekly

Kristen Baldwin

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
5. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”

“It’s currently a very close, like flip-a-coin close, race between Milioti and Williams. Both gave excellent performances, but Williams already has an Emmy for ‘Fosse/Verdon,’ so perhaps they’ll spread the wealth to Milioti for her tour de force as Arkham Asylum’s very own Sofia Falcone.”

Los Angeles Times

Tracy Brown

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
5. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”

“Williams has previously won in this category, so that might give her the edge. But I still think the award will go to the scene-stealing Milioti, who portrays an increasingly unhinged crime family heiress opposite a transformed Colin Farrell in the Gotham-set mobster show.”

Shadow and Act

Trey Mangum

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
4. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
5. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”

“Though ‘Adolescence’ swooped in and took the overall thunder, no thunder was taken away from Milioti’s ‘The Penguin’ performance. Don’t be surprised if Williams crashes the party, though, for ‘Dying for Sex.’”

TV Guide

Matt Roush

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”
5. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”

“One of the year’s tougher toss-ups. I’m giving the edge to Milioti’s dazzling performance as ‘The Penguin’s’ psychotic femme fatale, though former winner Williams had an even tougher assignment as the sexually adventurous cancer patient in ‘Dying for Sex.’ Both were fearless. Maybe a tie?”

line drawing of a man on a white circle

Los Angeles Times

Glenn Whipp

1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
5. Meghann Fahy, “Sirens”

“Milioti has had a hard time winning many prizes for her scene-stealing work as the vengeful mob-boss daughter in this ‘Batman’ spinoff, losing time and again to Jessica Gunning from ‘Baby Reindeer.’ But at the Emmys, her path is clear and she should go home a winner.”

Sign up for The Envelope

Get exclusive awards season news, in-depth interviews and columnist Glenn Whipp’s must-read analysis straight to your inbox.

Advertisement