The last two years,
Where are the wacky, celebrity-worshiping choices of yesteryear?
What will the babysitter whom
We don't know. But we do have predictions for this year's by-the-book slate of nominees.
MOTION PICTURE DRAMA
The nominees: "Boyhood," "Foxcatcher," "The Imitation Game," "Selma,"
And the winner is: "Boyhood." The HFPA likes to put a stamp on the award season before Oscar voters have their say, so look for it to go with Richard Linklater's celebrated landmark.
LEAD ACTOR MOTION PICTURE DRAMA
The nominees: Steve Carell, "Foxcatcher";
And the winner is: Redmayne. Veterans tend to win here, as is the case with the film academy, but Redmayne's turn as Stephen Hawking contains all the elements of a winner.
Unless: Cumberbatch, not exactly an old-timer himself, wins his first Globe.
LEAD ACTRESS MOTION PICTURE DRAMA
The nominees: Jennifer Aniston, "Cake"; Felicity Jones, "The Theory of Everything";
And the winner is: Moore. Two lead nominations (she was also tapped for "Maps to the Stars") indicates a clear consensus that she's had a very good year.
Unless: It's hard to imagine a path for anyone but Moore. Bank on it.
MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL OR COMEDY
And the winner is: "Birdman." It scored the most nominations of any movie, signaling strong across-the-board support.
Unless: Voters' love of musicals (the HFPA gave "
LEAD ACTOR MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL OR COMEDY
And the winner is: Keaton. Again, the HFPA clearly loves "Birdman." Should he nail his acceptance speech (make 'em laugh, Michael!), this will provide a nice boost for his Oscar chances.
Unless: Fiennes finds the podium after five nominations. We're guessing he says something urbane.
LEAD ACTRESS MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL OR COMEDY
And the winner is: Blunt. Adams has the highest profile of the nominees, but she just won last year for
Unless: Adams repeats.
TV DRAMA SERIES
The nominees: "The Affair," "Downton Abbey,"
And the winner is: "House of Cards." With the exception of last year's valedictory salute to
Unless: HFPA didn't bother watching "The Affair" after, say, its sixth episode.
LEAD ACTOR IN A TV DRAMA SERIES
And the winner is: Spacey. This is his eighth nomination, and he's still waiting for a win. If the HFPA lauded him for
Unless: Owen wins his second Globe for Steven Soderbergh's critically acclaimed series.
LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV DRAMA SERIES
The nominees: Claire Danes, "Homeland";
And the winner is: Davis. She lost to Streep in 2012 when voters preferred Meryl's Thatcher over Davis' dignified housemaid in "The Help." Time to make good.
Unless: Wright repeats in a big night for "House of Cards."
And the winner is: "Transparent." "Orange Is the New Black" would be the safe pick, but, again, the HFPA likes to reward the newest of the new. Plus, "Orange" lost last year to "Brooklyn Nine-Nine." It faces a tougher test against Amazon's celebrated, big-hearted series.
Unless: "Orange" does win, with Globe voters rewarding both it and "Cards" on a banner evening for Netflix.
LEAD ACTOR IN A TV COMEDY SERIES
And the winner is: Tambor. Playing a divorced dad transitioning to living life as a woman, Tambor delivers what is, inarguably, the performance of the year. The television academy will repeat the honor in the fall.
Unless: Tambor decides to withdraw his name from consideration.
LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV COMEDY SERIES
And the winner is: Rodriguez. Louis-Dreyfus may be an Emmy magnet, but she's never been a big HFPA favorite and hasn't won for "Veep." That leaves the door open for newcomer Rodriguez.
Unless: The HFPA finally makes up for lost time and brings Louis-Dreyfus onstage.