Mets in Unfamiliar Role as Favorites

The New York Mets are marking their 25th year of existence with a status they have seldom--if ever--enjoyed. They are prohibitive favorites to win.

The Mets just missed in the National League East last year, a fact that left them frustrated and motivated to win this time. Their talent, and the lack of a distinguished challenger, make the them a favorite to do it in 1986.

However, there is one key factor: Keith Hernandez.

Hernandez finished sixth in the league with a .309 average, and won a Gold Glove. His involvement with last year’s cocaine scandals makes him a candidate for suspension if Commissioner Peter Ueberroth decides in that direction. Without Hernandez at first base, the Mets look as undistinguished as their competition. With Hernandez, they seem unbeatable.

For one thing, they offer Dwight Gooden, the right-hander who brings no-hit potential to the mound every time he pitches. Second, they present a potential MVP in right fielder Darryl Strawberry. Then comes Gary Carter, who will hit home runs and guide the young and talented Met staff.

As for the rest of the division:

--The Cubs must prove that pitching can prosper in Wrigley Field to the same degree that it did in 1984.

--The Expos traded a consistent 12-game winner, Bill Gullickson, for unproven Jay Tibbs. They must hope for quick development from first baseman Andres Galarraga.

--The Cardinals can’t dream of another 21 victories from John Tudor. Danny Cox had elbow problems, and Joaquin Andujar (21-12) is now in Oakland.

--Philadelphia tried a unique strategy in the off-season--trading an All-Star catcher in Ozzie Virgil and a former Cy Young Award winner in John Denny.

--The Pittsburgh Pirates, rebuilding under new ownership after a nightmare year, are not a factor until further notice.